Market pricing for the most likely Fed Funds rate path through the March 15th, 2023 meeting shows three 50 basis point hikes then five 25 basis point hikes. Here's how that would look: pic.twitter.com/qN8IQOdSRL
— Bespoke (@bespokeinvest) March 28, 2022
Stocks Surge On Report Russia Abandons "De-Nazification" Demands In Peace Talks https://t.co/yKCV8sWe7J
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 28, 2022
√ #China Jan-Feb combined industrial profits significantly rebounded, jumping to close to 40% above 20-year pre-crisis trend👇
— Patrick Zweifel (@PkZweifel) March 28, 2022
√ They are up 18% year over 3 years annualized (to adjust for 2020/21 strong base effects), continuing to support strong manufacturing investment👇 pic.twitter.com/1IGLLmpY0P
Biden's budget would increase debt by $15.7 trillion to $39.5 trillion... assuming ever-rising receipts, low inflation and high economic growth. pic.twitter.com/1lr9LoJcQb
— Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) March 28, 2022
Something big is happening FX... very big. I just don't know what it means yet...
— Raoul Pal (@RaoulGMI) March 28, 2022
Dollar JPY is testing the neck line of an enormous 20 yr inverse H&S... pic.twitter.com/yIkhIV7QOL
2-hr TOP KILLER SIGNAL: (1) this signal was quite reliable in 2020 & 21; when triggered, it foretells a 80+point drop next day or 150+point in 5 TDs. (2) 83% reliable rate--quite high. It missed on 3/23 & flash RED by Fri's close. (3) will shelf it if Mon misses 4465 or 4/1>4400.
At 190% market cap to GDP the bear market is over and all the excess has come out of valuations. pic.twitter.com/mRAHwWpaTd
— Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) March 28, 2022
Bulls, I know you get angry when I say you've seen this movie before.
— Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) March 28, 2022
But I'm just trying to save you money. I'm not trying to spoil the ending.
Financials usually rally when interest rates rise.
Unless there's a recession. pic.twitter.com/mE1pEiOU5S
To put things into perspective. The oil sector made only a mini-comeback. The stock market cap of oil comps measured against the entire S&P 500 mkt cap rose from just under 2% to just under 4%. At their peak, the oil giants accounted for almost 16% of the S&P 500. pic.twitter.com/PHrYksy5qC
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) March 28, 2022
TSLA call buyers (orange line) going at it again pic.twitter.com/izLyG09T0o
— SpotGamma (@spotgamma) March 28, 2022
YC inversion update: Only 13bps left amid record bonds vola usually only seen during rate cuts.
— Ilia Sakowski (@IliaSakowski) March 28, 2022
Conclusion: $VIX looks rare at 20. pic.twitter.com/UqY1yCGP02